Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.066574 2.376494 2.720957 3.132880 3.612979 4.155939 4.818047
2025-04-27 1.574037 1.979000 2.474280 3.127592 3.971177 5.029729 6.468109
2025-05-04 1.351639 1.804757 2.396089 3.230504 4.387549 5.949787 8.243380
2025-05-11 1.169228 1.637795 2.281863 3.241552 4.651907 6.674441 9.841252
2025-05-18 1.031480 1.505028 2.185490 3.248138 4.890638 7.373709 11.489281
2025-05-25 0.898246 1.357412 2.042954 3.158078 4.959419 7.812081 12.785187
2025-06-01 0.822082 1.283730 1.998176 3.205891 5.240242 8.608090 14.771943
2025-06-08 0.763568 1.229102 1.973979 3.279180 5.565919 9.513660 17.081105
2025-06-15 0.701274 1.160279 1.917268 3.287896 5.777484 10.244912 19.184832
2025-06-22 0.633752 1.074791 1.822258 3.216429 5.833308 10.698281 20.826900
2025-06-29 0.579480 1.006006 1.747826 3.171182 5.928164 11.231082 22.702758
2025-07-06 0.528542 0.937705 1.666656 3.102774 5.967705 11.657849 24.422362
2025-07-13 0.505880 0.923222 1.690467 3.255335 6.500776 13.226402 29.062152
2025-07-20 0.463808 0.869054 1.636280 3.252962 6.731306 14.236758 32.747463
2025-07-27 0.439499 0.845444 1.636906 3.360197 7.208058 15.858650 38.230312
2025-08-03 0.407823 0.803350 1.595280 3.371732 7.475088 17.054589 42.940503
2025-08-10 0.379275 0.764144 1.554487 3.378604 7.731555 18.270592 47.991064
2025-08-17 0.344983 0.709113 1.473916 3.284634 7.733885 18.865954 51.499362
2025-08-24 0.326250 0.685011 1.456822 3.334522 8.095393 20.436453 58.166407
2025-08-31 0.311207 0.667201 1.451339 3.410995 8.536764 22.301202 66.195167
2025-09-07 0.292626 0.639463 1.420148 3.420090 8.804072 23.744257 73.304146
2025-09-14 0.270208 0.600652 1.359010 3.345517 8.834227 24.525192 78.482177
2025-09-21 0.251626 0.568850 1.310959 3.298306 8.933257 25.528490 84.694850